Florida
Spread, spread, spread… bullshit. The reason the “spread” is not going to work any better in the SEC than any other form of offense is that it doesn’t rely, as the Kool-Aid drinkers might tell you, on “balance.” The Spread, especially as Urban Meyer runs it, relies on speed. Namely, being faster than the defense. Gator faithful can put those dreams to rest. You just don’t get faster than SEC defenses. This is Meyer’s last year of excuses, though. Chris Leak, who would’ve flourished at any other team in the conference, is not well-suited to the offense. Florida fans are still waiting for Tim Tebow will get off the pine next year and really make something happen.
Nevertheless, Florida is still in the hunt on talent alone, but they’re the only team in the SEC with a more demanding schedule than LSU. Having to face the three toughest SEC West teams, and having to face them in successive weeks, is going to put a hurtin’ on any national title hopes UF might have… and it will probably torpedo their SEC title hopes as well. Meyer is going to keep pointing fingers at the backs, but the truth is that the spread just will not be the same here in the SEC. It’s going to take some major tweaking and flawless recruiting every year to make it work.
Predicted Record: 8-4 (5-3 SEC)
Georgia
Georgia, for the spot that they’re in, has about as favorable a schedule as one can hope. After some talent loss, Richt is going to try to reload but the new kids haven’t seen a tremendous amount of playing time and the offensive line is a little thin. Nevertheless, Georgia’s offense will be a force when it’s clicking on all cylinders and UGA hasn’t been the best team in the Richt Era by playing sloppy defense.
The only rough spot of The Dawgs’ schedule is the conference opener at South Carolina. The young team might not be quite ready for an up-and-coming SEC opponent that early, but if they can get by Spurrier’s Gamecocks, they’ll have smooth sailing until the Cocktail Party in late October. Their out-of-division schedule is remarkable, getting Ole Miss and Mississippi State — two easy conference wins — but having to face Auburn right at the end. By the time they get to the plains, though, Georgia should be knocking on the door of a 10-win season and will probably have locked up an appearance in the SEC Championship game.
Predicted Record: 10-2 (6-2 SEC)
Kentucky
The Wildcats have a lot of experience, but that experience has seen about as many wins over major D-IA programs as the local High School’s JV squad has. Maybe a few less. Do not expect UK to be 2006’s Vanderbilt. While they have an exceptional player in Runningback Rafael Little, Little can only line up at one spot per play, so that leaves about 10 other match-ups for opponents to beat them. And beat them they will.
Despite being the SEC East’s punching bag, the Wildcats have a chance, if they get lucky, to be bowl eligible for the first time in recent memory, but to do that they’re going to need a to pick up two or three conference wins on top of winning all of the out of conference games that they should.
Predicted Record: 5-7 (2-6 SEC)
South Carolina
Spurrier has never been one to start of slow, nursing expectations. There’d be absolutely nothing negative to say about 2005 campaign if the Cocks hadn’t fallen to rival Clemson and had fared a little better in their bowl game. Nevertheless, we all know that Spurrier is the real deal. He’ll have the Gamecocks competing for Conference Championships… but not this year.
South Carolina will get to the plus-side of .500 with five games that The Ol’ Ball Coach could lead a team of one-armed monkeys to victories in: Mississippi State, Wofford, FAU, Kentucky, and Vandy. Add in wins at MTSU and Clemson (don’t expect a repeat of last season) and splitting the Tennessee and Arkansas games and you’re left with a solid 8-win season for the Gamecocks. There are a number of SEC East teams, however, on the rise and if Spurrier expects to continue to compete, the talent level has to go up, and it has to go up quickly.
Predicted Record: 8-4 (4-4 SEC)
Tennessee
It can’t happen again, right? There’s no way the Vols are going to miss a bowl berth this year, are they? Lose to Vandy? No, probably not, but it won’t be as good as the pundits think it will. Tennessee has the talent on offense to have one of the best squads in the nation… just like last year. The only difference? Cutcliffe back at the helm as the OC. It will make a huge difference, but not enough to put Tennessee in the hunt for the SEC East.
The Vols lost six of their front seven on defense but if this is a rebuilding year for the D-line, the Vols could be fighting to stay bowl eligible again. QB Erik Ainge simply must get the job done. While he won’t have competent back-ups to cut him any slack, his solid spot on the depth chart is going to help his game. Will the Vols have a repeat of the 2005 season? No… but don’t expect them to make it to Atlanta or go bowling with the BCS either.
Predicted Record: 8-4 (5-3)
Vanderbilt
Do we really need any more analysis beyond “Cutler is gone”? Sadly, no. There’s not much else to say. The defense is dismal. The offense is a little better. The schedule is much more daunting with Michigan, Alabama, and Arkansas to open the season. Not to mention the fact that the ‘Dores won’t be besting Tennessee this year. The Razorbacks are Vandy’s “reach” game… if they play their best game and Arkansas makes some mistakes, they can get a win there. Don’t count on it. They’ll have some battles with Ole Miss, Duke, and Kentucky… but the Commodores won’t be getting back to a bowl game this year.
Predicted Record: 4-8 (2-6 SEC)
2006 SEC East Prediction
- Georgia
- Florida
- Tennessee
- South Carolina
- Kentucky
- Vanderbilt